The Chancellor’s Spring Statement 2025 yesterday outlined a range of economic measures that will have direct implications for investors, pensions, and savings.
Key points that could affect your portfolio and financial planning:
Economic Growth & Market Outlook
The UK economy is expected to grow modestly over the next five years, with household incomes rising by just 0.5% annually. While this presents challenges, opportunities remain in resilient sectors such as infrastructure, technology, and global equities. We continue to monitor market conditions to optimise your investments.
Interest Rates
The UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) indicated that interest rates are expected to remain elevated for a prolonged period.Specifically, the OBR forecasts that the average interest rate on mortgages will increase from 3.7% in 2024 to 4.7% in 2028 and remain at that level in 2029.This projection is higher than their previous estimate of 4.5% made in October. This means UK plc borrowing costs are now expected to be higher and for personal finances this may lead to slightly higher mortgage costs if remortaging.
Taxation & Compliance Measures
The government is targeting tax evasion and avoidance to raise an additional £1 billion, with stricter enforcement and penalties. 15 days overdue a penalty of 3% of the outstanding. 30 days overdue an additional 3% and beyond 30 days, a further penalty accrues at a rate of 10% per annum of the outstanding. This reinforces the importance of tax-efficient investment strategies, particularly in ISAs, SIPPs, and pensions, to shield your wealth from unnecessary tax liabilities.
ISAs & Savings
There are planned reforms to ISAs, aiming to encourage investment in equities rather than cash savings. This aligns with our long-term investment approach, and we will keep you informed on how to best leverage these changes to enhance your returns.
Housing & Infrastructure Investment
A commitment to building 1.3 million new homes may impact property markets, with the potential for downward pressure on prices. For investors in property-related assets, this could signal a shift in strategy, favouring diversified real estate investment trusts (REITs) and infrastructure funds.
Pensions & Welfare Changes
While the universal credit standard allowance will rise, changes to the health element may affect financial security for some individuals. For those nearing retirement, ensuring your pension is structured for maximum growth and tax efficiency remains paramount.
If you would like to discuss your investments in light of the Budget and/or to discuss setting up an account please contact support@capitalfinancialmarkets.co.uk.
